Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2007 - 2008 - 2009



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Andrew Albert 12 Northridge 16:07 #27  
2  Lucas Roscoe 12 Elkhart Central 16:21 #55  
3  Race Dorsey 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:24 #60  
4  Mitch Keyser 12 Northridge 16:27 #68  
5  Trevor Moore 10 Northridge 16:31 #73  
6  Daniel Zelaya 10 Concord 16:33 #80  
7  Jose Mejia 11 Wawasee 16:44 #126  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 293 #11  
2  Concord Elkhart Central 393 #20  
3  Riley Riley 497 #39  

Other unranked teams:
Warsaw Elkhart Central 541
Wawasee Elkhart Central 573
Goshen Elkhart Central 575
Penn Riley 633



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.1 36 15 97 89.2 10.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Concord 100.0% 2.1 60 21 126 10.4 77.1 10.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
Riley 100.0% 3.6 94 33 166 0.4 8.3 48.6 23.4 11.7 6.1 1.6
Warsaw 100.0% 4.4 110 46 178 0.1 3.0 22.8 30.9 21.7 15.1 6.5
Wawasee 100.0% 5.2 122 51 185 0.0 0.6 8.9 19.9 27.1 26.6 16.9
Goshen 100.0% 5.2 122 58 183 0.5 8.1 19.0 28.0 28.2 16.2
Penn 100.0% 6.3 140 62 198 0.0 1.3 5.0 11.0 23.9 58.8


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Andrew Albert Northridge 16:07 100.0% 1.0 69.6 20.2 7.3 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lucas Roscoe Elkhart Central 16:21 100.0% 2.4 15.4 26.0 19.3 13.8 11.2 6.9 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Race Dorsey Elkhart Memorial 16:24 100.0% 2.9 10.7 20.5 20.2 15.3 12.6 9.2 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mitch Keyser Northridge 16:27 100.0% 3.5 1.1 16.9 21.6 21.2 15.6 9.5 6.1 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:31 100.0% 4.6 0.2 6.6 13.5 18.5 19.0 15.0 9.1 6.2 4.4 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Daniel Zelaya Concord 16:33 100.0% 5.1 2.5 6.8 10.1 13.5 15.3 17.1 11.8 8.3 5.1 3.5 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Jose Mejia Wawasee 16:44 100.0% 7.8 0.2 1.2 3.3 5.1 7.2 10.2 12.9 11.7 9.8 8.1 6.5 6.1 4.2 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.6